27.12 a day for 138 days
3,742
on hand and inbound
− 142
net needed
3,600
90 cartons at $1.78 landed
$6,408
138d = 45 make + 12 water + 21 review + 60 shelf
Blended velocity
23.58
u/d
v7
weight 0.3
26.40
v30
weight 0.5
23.40
v90
weight 0.2
19.80
adjusted for trend
×1.15 GROW · MoM +18%
27.12
Cover uses the blend: 142 ÷ 23.58 = 6d. The order uses the adjusted rate.
Supplier
Ningbo Kai
Lead time
45d + 12d
Landed
$1.42 → $1.78
Carton · MOQ
40 · 2,000
UID
PB038
ASIN
B08H3RRT7C
NM% now
28.1%
NM% with ads
21.6%
Amazon US ↗ Amazon CA ↗ Seller Central ↗ Drive ↗
Per marketplace — what the blend hides
Amazon US
Amazon CA
Walmart
Status
Active
Inactive
Active
FBA on hand
142
0
—
FBA inbound
0
0
—
v7
26.40
0.00
1.20
v30
23.40
0.00
0.90
v90
19.80
0.00
0.60
v blend
23.58
0.00
0.94
v adjusted
27.12
0.00
0.94
Units 30d
702
0
27
MoM%
+18%
—
−8%
Price
$16.99
$21.49
$18.49
GM%
74%
71%
69%
NM% now
28.1%
—
19.4%
NM% with ads
21.6%
—
19.4%
Cover
6d
—
—
12 months back, 9 forward
seasonal model
2025-09
2027-05
Compare
units, all marketplaces
●actual
□forecast
▬±80% band
—available (FBA)
‒if you order today
●empty Aug 24
▬no stock to sell
units
380
412
604
988
442
386
402
468
512
588
664
702
748
806
1,120
1,640
742
680
704
780
812
revenue
$6k
$7k
$10k
$17k
$8k
$7k
$7k
$8k
$9k
$10k
$11k
$12k
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
net $
$1.7k
$1.9k
$2.8k
$4.8k
$2.2k
$1.9k
$2.0k
$2.2k
$2.6k
$2.8k
$3.1k
$3.3k
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Manual order qty
overrides the AI number
4,000
100 ct · $7,120 · a full container, 400 more than the AI asked for
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